Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.1#27
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#12
Pace54.0#348
Improvement+0.8#138

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#27
Improvement+2.3#66

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#27
Improvement-1.5#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 15.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 77.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen26.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 318   North Dakota W 64-52 98%     1 - 0 -0.9 -6.4 -6.4
  Nov 18, 2014 46   @ Stephen F. Austin W 79-77 OT 48%     2 - 0 +14.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Nov 20, 2014 341   Morgan St. W 73-53 99%     3 - 0 +3.5 -8.3 -8.3
  Nov 22, 2014 134   North Florida W 66-49 88%     4 - 0 +16.1 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 25, 2014 159   Virginia Tech W 73-54 87%     5 - 0 +19.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2014 95   Northwestern W 61-42 77%     6 - 0 +23.5 +2.2 +2.2
  Nov 30, 2014 62   Richmond W 55-50 75%     7 - 0 +10.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 06, 2014 195   George Mason W 71-65 OT 93%     8 - 0 +1.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 10, 2014 220   @ Denver W 65-55 87%     9 - 0 +9.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Dec 13, 2014 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 87-93 2OT 44%     9 - 1 +7.7 +6.8 +6.8
  Dec 20, 2014 22   Iowa W 56-44 58%     10 - 1 +22.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 28, 2014 111   South Dakota St. W 74-63 85%     11 - 1 +11.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 01, 2015 133   @ Evansville L 49-52 75%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +2.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 04, 2015 136   Loyola Chicago W 67-58 89%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +8.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 07, 2015 226   Southern Illinois W 55-39 95%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +9.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 10, 2015 245   @ Drake W 64-40 90%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +22.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2015 242   @ Bradley W 63-52 90%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +9.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2015 246   Missouri St. W 60-46 96%     16 - 2 5 - 1 +6.3 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 21, 2015 170   Indiana St. W 66-60 92%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +2.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2015 72   @ Illinois St. W 54-53 60%     18 - 2 7 - 1 +10.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2015 226   @ Southern Illinois W 59-52 88%     19 - 2 8 - 1 +6.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 31, 2015 19   Wichita St. W 70-54 57%     20 - 2 9 - 1 +26.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 03, 2015 170   @ Indiana St. W 61-51 82%     21 - 2 10 - 1 +12.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 07, 2015 245   Drake W 69-53 96%     22 - 2 11 - 1 +8.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2015 72   Illinois St. W 83-64 79%     23 - 2 12 - 1 +22.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 15, 2015 246   @ Missouri St. W 68-57 90%     24 - 2 13 - 1 +9.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 18, 2015 136   @ Loyola Chicago W 58-39 76%     25 - 2 14 - 1 +23.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 21, 2015 242   Bradley W 56-39 96%     26 - 2 15 - 1 +9.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 25, 2015 133   Evansville W 68-57 88%     27 - 2 16 - 1 +10.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 28, 2015 19   @ Wichita St. L 60-74 35%     27 - 3 16 - 2 +2.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Mar 06, 2015 242   Bradley W 71-46 93%     28 - 3 +20.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Mar 07, 2015 136   Loyola Chicago W 63-49 83%     29 - 3 +15.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Mar 08, 2015 72   Illinois St. W 69-60 70%     30 - 3 +15.6 +3.3 +3.3
Projected Record 30.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.6 1.2 14.8 31.3 30.0 17.3 4.6 0.9 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.6 1.2 14.8 31.3 30.0 17.3 4.6 0.9 0.0